Can Gran Turismo Deliver Neill Blomkamp’s First Real Box Office Hit Since District 9?

A lack of press undoubtedly impacts the bottom line. Hence, the last-minute release date shift. The biggest question — as it always is with these things — is how much Sony spent on it. $100 million has been floated as the budget but that has yet to be confirmed. That would be in line with 2019’s “Ford v Ferrari” ($97.6 million budget/$225.5 million box office) and they are comparable in scope. In that case, the movie didn’t make quite enough in theaters alone to justify the price tag, but the fact that it scored a Best Picture nomination at the Oscars helped add value in another way. Such critical heights seem out of reach for “Gran Turismo.”

The movie is based on a true story about a gamer (Archie Madekwe) who is very good at the game “Gran Turismo” and gets the chance to actually become a racecar driver. Critics have been a bit mixed on it, with the film holding a 59 percent critical approval rating on Rotten Tomatoes. You can read /Film’s 4 out of 10 review right here. More importantly though, Blomkamp’s latest holds a stellar 98 percent audience score. That, oftentimes, is a better indicator of a film’s financial prospects.

If the $100 million budget is correct, Sony would probably need the movie to make between $250 and $300 million to break even. For what it’s worth, the film is off to a slow start overseas, having earned $10.7 million from several overseas markets during its initial rollout. It’s going to take a lot of positive word of mouth and genuine buzz to help push this movie near the break-even mark.

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